Tesla can sell its Optimus humanoid robot by the end of next year and one day make more money from robots than from cars, CEO Elon Musk told investors on Tuesday, adding that another big ambition of the billionaire is the possibility that experts will be in that area. — soon to be a car It is very likely to make money for the manufacturer. Hubicki said there are some uncertainties surrounding humanoid robots of Tesla and its competitors, such as Boston Dynamics and AI, which is important to assess their potential for real-world use outside of fancy, carefully staged demo videos. Foremost among these is reliability, and “the only useful robot is a reliable robot,” he said. Hubicki said this is “a challenge for humanoids” because the surveillance is still in the laboratory stage and the equipment is fragile. “Does it work 90% of the time? 99%? How many 9 in the production line are enough to repair and treat them before they become more useful? This is the number I want to know from the humanoid company.”
Most of the built world is designed for humans, and humanoid robots by design match it. While the work environment and tasks may be difficult for robots with wheels or other designs, a humanoid can evolve and perform tasks that are limited to humans or special equipment. Design involves many technical challenges for hardware and software, including things that most people don’t understand, such as motion and handling. Current advances in AI are helping to advance the field, Aitken said, adding that generalization is important for making humanoid devices. “We cannot program a robot to pick up 1,000 different objects by programming each one individually.”
It’s hard to argue with Forbes robotics experts, especially in their cars, that Optimus will one day overshadow other Tesla products. Garg says that humanoids are “not likely to be cash flow positive in the near term” and despite the hype, there are no compelling use cases for emerging technologies like driverless cars. “It won’t come close to the car business in terms of profitability” for the next decade, he said. Aitken told Forbes that “it’s hard to see humans seriously competing with the big players in this industry,” and questioned whether they could do “high-cost, boring, dirty and dangerous” work. companies to invest in. Hubicki said he “will not bet on the approaching car market in the future.” While humanoid bots have made “impressive progress” in recent years, there is still a lack of effective usability issues, indicating that “a big market is nearby,” he said, adding that it is still “complicated technology to do the tasks we can do. Better.”
GLJ Research analyst Gordon Johnson dismissed Musk’s claims as “nonsense” and the final target of 2025 for Optimus as “nonsensical and borderline investor fraud”. Johnson said companies that have been working on humanoids for years are nowhere near “where Musk says he’ll be by the end of 2025.” “Pump on the pipe dream,” Optimus said. “I don’t have one.”
